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Real-time odds vs. implied probability scoring.
| Event | Date | Market | Outcome | Entry | Current | ROI | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Election 2024 | Nov 05 | Winner | Trump | $0.52 | $0.61 | +17.3% | Live |
| FOMC Meeting | Nov 15 | Rate Cut | Yes | $0.42 | $0.89 | +112.0% | Live |
| Bitcoin Price | Dec 31 | > $100k | No | $0.15 | $0.18 | +20.0% | Live |
| COP28 Summit | Dec 12 | Deal Signed | Yes | $0.60 | $0.72 | +20.0% | Live |
| Midterm Elections | Nov 08 | Senate Control | Republicans | $0.48 | $0.67 | +39.6% | Live |
| NVIDIA Q3 | Nov 21 | Revenue > $22B | Yes | $0.62 | $0.91 | +46.8% | Live |
| World Cup 2026 | Jun 30 | Host Country | USA | $0.42 | $0.38 | -9.5% | Live |
| Oil Prices | Dec 15 | > $80/barrel | No | $0.28 | $0.31 | +10.7% | Live |
| SpaceX Starship | Oct 13 | Successful | Yes | $0.88 | $0.98 | +11.4% | Closed |
| Super Bowl | Feb 11 | Winner | Chiefs | $0.45 | $1.00 | +122.0% | Closed |
| Fed Interest Rate | Oct 23 | Rate Decision | Hold | $0.35 | $0.41 | +17.1% | Closed |
| Tesla Earnings | Oct 18 | Beat Estimates | Yes | $0.55 | $0.78 | +41.8% | Closed |
| UK Election 2024 | Jul 04 | Labour Win | Yes | $0.58 | $0.89 | +53.4% | Closed |
| Ethereum Merge | Sep 15 | Success | Yes | $0.71 | $0.94 | +32.4% | Closed |
| French Election | Apr 24 | Le Pen Win | No | $0.32 | $0.35 | +9.4% | Closed |
Nov 05
Winner
TrumpEntry
$0.52
Current
$0.61
ROI
+17.3%
Nov 15
Rate Cut
YesEntry
$0.42
Current
$0.89
ROI
+112.0%
Dec 31
> $100k
NoEntry
$0.15
Current
$0.18
ROI
+20.0%
Dec 12
Deal Signed
YesEntry
$0.60
Current
$0.72
ROI
+20.0%
Nov 08
Senate Control
RepublicansEntry
$0.48
Current
$0.67
ROI
+39.6%
Nov 21
Revenue > $22B
YesEntry
$0.62
Current
$0.91
ROI
+46.8%
Jun 30
Host Country
USAEntry
$0.42
Current
$0.38
ROI
-9.5%
Dec 15
> $80/barrel
NoEntry
$0.28
Current
$0.31
ROI
+10.7%
Oct 13
Successful
YesEntry
$0.88
Current
$0.98
ROI
+11.4%
Feb 11
Winner
ChiefsEntry
$0.45
Current
$1.00
ROI
+122.0%
Oct 23
Rate Decision
HoldEntry
$0.35
Current
$0.41
ROI
+17.1%
Oct 18
Beat Estimates
YesEntry
$0.55
Current
$0.78
ROI
+41.8%
Jul 04
Labour Win
YesEntry
$0.58
Current
$0.89
ROI
+53.4%
Sep 15
Success
YesEntry
$0.71
Current
$0.94
ROI
+32.4%
Apr 24
Le Pen Win
NoEntry
$0.32
Current
$0.35
ROI
+9.4%